Matt Zagaja

"The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed." - William Gibson

As a champion for the use of technology in political campaigns I enjoy experimenting with the newest tools and techniques. I have been fortunate to have had the opportunity to deploy them in statewide and local races. Politicians, like lawyers, can be averse to change and it is good that they question whether new tools are worth it. In many Connecticut state legislative races the highest proportion of spending is going towards direct mail. With its rising cost direct mail may have already lost its price competitiveness with the Internet, but the Internet still has a long way to go to be ready for mainstream campaigns.

Direct mail vendors have already built a working full-stack model for political campaigns. The typical state representative engages with a direct mail firm that has designers on staff to do the creative work, then the firm has a print and mail house they work with to distribute the direct mail piece. Many vendors work on a pricing model where a profit margin is baked into the per piece price of the mail. This means that the campaigns often do not need to pay for the design work up front. A campaign can go to a firm and ask for something and at the end pops out the working product with minimal work and expertise needed by the campaign. It is easy and effective.

Digital firms are currently a hot mess, or rather in beta. Most are either technology firms that lack expertise in communications and marketing, or they are communications and marketing firms that do not have technical expertise. If you are going to design a digital strategy page speed and responsive web design that make your content accessible is going to be as important as the content itself. However a well designed website does nothing if it is not being populated with relevant content that people want to watch or read.¹ That content does nothing for you if you does not compel people to volunteer, donate, get out to vote, persuade them to vote for you, or to share the content with their voting friends.² Most political content does not do this.³

Social media is a potential bright spot. Since the websites are built for general users it typically only requires someone with communications skills to use. However social media is not useful unless the message being conveyed does so in the native language of the platform and leads to more votes. Social media managers may get excited when posts get more likes or shares but unless it is putting the message in front of the eyes of new voters or the person who likes the item is going to then volunteer they are not a useful metric. Twitter followers are nice to have but many might not even be in your candidate's district. Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube have some geographic targeting tools for advertising but it would be helpful if they could break down their data in a way that gives social media managers a better idea of whether their message is reaching their intended audience.

I think the future of campaigning looks like BuzzFeed. Campaigns will hire full stack digital shops that build them an online presence with both a technology toolset and a content strategy.⁴ Traditional banner and video pre-roll ads will be used to build name recongition, get out information about the candidate and recruit volunteers for a general audience. Then instead of being asked to spend hours making phone calls, volunteers will be asked to generate content. Campaigns will then spend money to push that content into the writer's network to amplify its impact.

From Bloomberg:

If Yahoo sells the Alibaba shares, it will owe $16 billion in taxes, leaving only $24 billion of value left. If it takes the shares out of the box to give to its shareholders, it will also owe $16 billion in taxes. It needs to hand the Alibaba shares to its shareholders while they are still encased in the box. The way it plans to do this is to give the shareholders shares of "a newly formed independent registered investment company ('SpinCo')," which will in turn own Yahoo's Alibaba shares. Yahoo's shareholders won't just get Alibaba shares and go on their merry way. They'll get SpinCo shares. Then what?

Matt Levine does a great job of deciphering how this tax maneuver works. I do not fault Yahoo for giving this a try, but it is disappointing that the IRS so easily capitulates and allows it to occur. While $16 billion might be less than half a percent of the federal budget, it still sounds like real money to me. When a company is successful and doing well I do not think they need extra breaks like this from the taxpayers. The IRS should do better.

From FiveThirtyEight:

Bosses’ reluctance to let employees work from home persists despite the widely reported findings of a study by Stanford and Beijing universities that showed home workers were more productive.

Many larger employers in Connecticut have moved to a work from home model. Aetna and Pitney Bowes both have programs where workers can work from home and they rent desks or conference rooms in the company office when they need them. The USPTO has a program where its patent examiners work from home after their first-year. This allows its employees to live anywhere in the country and do their work. Working from home is a practice that works well for existing companies. I think more places that are able to should allow it.

An interesting online book about statistics and the typical things that people get wrong, with examples.

A few days ago I watched the YouTube interview of President Obama. I thought that it was well done but apparently the mainstream news media did not. This lead to an incredible rebuttal by Hank Green:

I may be biased here, but I feel like there’s an actual and honorable goal in all of this. America needs to convince young people that there are good reasons to be civically involved. Millenials are soon to be the biggest hunk of the electorate and, if the mid-terms are any indication, they simply don’t care. And that shouldn’t be surprising since no one is connecting to them in the ways they connect with each other or talking about issues that matter to them from perspectives they can identify with.