A Data Driven Approach to Weather Forecasting

Given today’s snow storm I thought I would share how I keep track of the weather. My favorite source of weather information is Forecast.io and its iOS companion app Dark Sky. These applications seem to be the cleanest way to view weather information. They also have a transparent data driven approach to local forecasting. However I also pay attention to Ryan Hanrahan on twitter. He does a great job of explaining the forecast and intrepreting the data.

Connecticut New Leaders Council

Last year my friend Wade Gibson asked me to help him build a Connecticut chapter of the New Leaders Council organization. Wade and others put much work into building up our chapter. These are the kinds of things that require teamwork. Money had to be raised, venues secured, candidates interviewed, curriculum developed, and a communications strategy executed. This was not a small task, it was a year in the making.

Tomorrow we will have our first fellows training session in New Haven. We have an impressive inaugural class. They are giving up their weekends for the next few months for this project. They will be Connecticut’s future leaders. Some will go on to serve on local boards and commissions. Some may run for the legislature. I hope we end up with some that run for Congress or Governor one day.

Blackberry's Crazy Application Neutrality Proposal

In politics there is a tradition of injecting non-sequitor ideas into popular movements. It is similar to a search engine optimization technique where you try to get attention by making your idea sound like a thing that others are searching for and interested in. In some cases these points might make sense, for example people that raise the idea that in order to tackle education reform we need to tackle child nutrition. However in this case Blackberry’s proposal does not fit with the principles shared by net neutrality supporters.

The idea behind net neutrality is simple: people who deliver content over the Internet should be on equal footing. They should not be privileged or penalized based on fees that they would have to pay to an ISP. This is important to websites because studies show that the slower a webpage loads the less revenue a company will make. Services like Netflix can have their entire business model threatened if ISPs decide to throttle or kill the ability of their consumers to access it. Net neutrality is pro-consumer because most consumers do not have the option to switch to an ISP that has access to a service if their ISP blocks it. Net neutrality does not require any company to provide its services on all networks, it merely gives them the option to do so.

Application neutrality in contrast would require developers to engage in additional work to provide their apps and content on all mobile operating systems.1 This is bad for start-up companies because it would operate as a de facto tax that would require them to hire developers skilled in each operating system, or to require their current developers to become skilled in obscure technologies. They would also have to hire appropriate support staff and pay for the development tools.2 Alternatively it would restrict their application to being built in purely open standards like HTML5. While these open standards are powerful and people build applications on top of them, they do not always have access to the advanced functionality in modern phones.

The key difference between net neutrality and Blackberry’s proposal is that net neutrality gives innovators access to consumers that they would not have in any other manner, while Blackberry would compel innovators to build applications on its platform against their will. If consumers want to access a certain application or service it is easy for them to acquire another device that the software is available for. They have a remedy in the free market. Depending on where you live that remedy is limited or non-existent for the problem being addressed by net neutrality. Blackberry should spend more of its time building a better operating system and phones than trying to get the government to force developers to write apps for them.

  1. Except the folks at Angry Birds who seem to do this anyways. 

  2. For example it costs $99/year to enroll in the Apple iOS or OS X developer programs. 


I have recently been enjoying the Startup podcast. The premise of this podcast is that it is the story of Alex Blumberg’s journey of starting a podcast company. The podcast covers some of the interesting and tough situations that startup founders face like raising money and finding a partner. However the most recent episode covers a topic familiar to many in the legal and campaign professions: burnout.

When I started studying for the bar exam the first thing that the bar prep course covered was handling the stress of studying for the bar exam. The message the bar prep people had was simple: this is a marathon and not a sprint. When you know going into something that it’s going to be long and difficult you have to plan to be resilient. Doing so is different than powering through a tough day or week. You have to plan to rest becuase if you do not plan to rest you are planning to fail. It may seem scary to do it, but BarBri had evidence and data to backup the idea that if we followed their plan, which included not doing work on Sundays, that we would likely pass the bar exam.

So the key to avoiding burnout is something that most of us are bad at: time management. The good news is that you can plan to be bad at time management and you can also get better at time management. The first part is simple, whenever you are estimating how long it will take to do something you simply double that amount of time and then impress everyone around you when you finish early. This is how Scotty always had things ready in the nick of time for Captain Kirk on the Enterprise. Many times you will finish after your original estimate but before your double estimate. Eventually you will build the judgement that allows you to stop doubling your estimates but a little padding never hurts. Watch Randy Pausch’s time management lecture.

In life there will sometimes be things outside your control. You will forget to do something important or there will be an emergency that you have to tend to. There will also be times where you need to sprint to the finish line whether it is the last weeks before an election or preparing to give a speech to a group. However with appropriate planning and judgement it turns out that most burnout is optional. As Merlin Mann once said, there is no award given for being the most stressed out person in the world.

How Twitter Data can Save Flood Victims

Chris Moody tells some interesting stories about twitter and data at the beginning of this video:

Follow Zagaja.com posts: RSS Feed
This work by Matt Zagaja is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License.